The State of Things Pandemic – Week 12 2024
This is the much anticipated ‘Houston We Have a Problem (Part 3 of 3)’ article.
A summary of excess mortality in the United States: A comprehensive analysis for Week 12 of 2024 – marking the 212th week of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic. This article provides an in-depth examination of various factors contributing to increased mortality rates, including an assessment of the primary causes. Despite facing challenges in visibility due to varying degrees of allowance and dissemination across platforms like Apple, LinkedIn, YouTube, and Facebook, this analysis strives to present an unbiased, evidence-based perspective on this excess mortality.
Week 12 2024 Highlights:
Cancer is now the third largest excess death category, behind ‘unknown’ and ‘uncommon’ death causes
Covid is down to 576 deaths per week, even with over-attribution
We are in what I call the ‘Spring Lull’ where pull forward effect does a little whipsaw each year and makes everything look peachy, when it is not.
True US Excess Mortality = 5.6% for Week 12 2024
Chart of the Week: Sudden Cardiac Death Ages 0-54 = 66.3% or 21-sigma excess, which began 12 days after the rollout of the shots 14 Dec 2020 and has not abated in the least. 125,000 dead younger persons - and the government/media are silent.
In order to avoid duplication of work and the difficulty of transferring/updating the critical images and supporting documentation links - I have elected to keep this article in a single location, as opposed to holding full copies on both Wordpress and Substack.
The Ethical Skeptic, “The State of Things Pandemic”; The Ethical Skeptic, WordPress, 21 Feb 2024; Web, https://theethicalskeptic.com/?p=77176
Deaths not attributed to Covid are quiet, they disappear into the background unnoticed by most people. No attention drawn to them by governments, scientists, public health or our mendacious media so the compliant masses pay no heed, young people die and it is just one of these things that happen. To be told that our younger people are dying is horrifying this is not a natural old age death but is an abnormal occurrence that should be shouted out by every institution as they did Covid but not a word just a deathly silence. Thank you Ethical Skeptic for making sure this real time tragedy does not disappear completely into the background.
In your plot for cardiac deaths in ages 0-54, did you fit the baseline based on only data from 2018 and 2019 or did you also include earlier years? Is the baseline a linear trend or polynomial trend or average or something else? Approximately the first two months of 2018 are missing from your plot, so did you also omit them from the baseline fitting period? And what method did you use to adjust for seasonal variation in mortality?
If you used only data from 2018-2019 to fit the baseline and you used a linear trend, the slope of the trend is going to point too much downwards because 2019 had an exceptionally low number of deaths: https://i.ibb.co/HHyH1MH/2018-to-2019-baseline-cdc-wonder.png. However it won't be as bad if you omitted the first two months of 2018 from the baseline fitting period, because there was a very high number of deaths in January 2018.